This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 64% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 64% to break even | 46%–83% | 2 points betterwon 67%, needs 64% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 64% to break even | 0%–73% | 64 points shortwon 0%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 10 of 1471%needs 64% to break even | 49%–86% | 7 points betterwon 71%, needs 64% |
| Every game |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against over 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 reb + astDejounte Murray |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes triple-doubleDejounte Murray |
| 10 of 1567%needs 64% to break even |
| 46%–83% |
| 2 points betterwon 67%, needs 64% |
| 10 |
| -0.5 |
| Lost |
| Mar 26 | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | 12 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | 15 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | 13 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | 12 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | 5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| +135at Bovada |
| 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 43% to break even |
| -21.0Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 reb + astDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 reb + astDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | -165at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 62% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +2900at DraftKings |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 3% to break even |
| -2.5Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 pts + rebDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 pointsDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | -190at Bovada | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 pts + astDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 pts + reb + astDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | +175at Bovada | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 assistsDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pointsDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 pointsDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | +135at Bovada | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 pts + astDejounte Murray · Today 9:40 PM ET | -105at Bovada | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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