This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 42% to break even | 5%–56% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 42% to break even | 7%–46% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 42% to break even | 22%–61% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 42% to break even | 0%–73% | 42 points shortwon 0%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 23 of 4255%needs 42% to break even | 42%–67% | 13 points betterwon 55%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 23 of 4353%needs 42% to break even | 41%–65% | 12 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 34.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 34.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 30 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 23 | 34 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 29 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 26 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 24 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 32 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 40 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 23 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 28 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 42 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 44 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 43 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 30 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 42 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 33 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 38 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 36 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 54 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 37 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 29 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 39 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 37 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 27 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 37 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 27 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 29 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 28 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 38 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 56 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 49 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 40 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 32 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 16 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 29 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 39 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 37 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 39 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 68 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 38 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astLauri Markkanen · Today 9:40 PM ET | +135at Bovada | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 43% to break even | -20.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 30.5 pts + reb + astLauri Markkanen · Today 9:40 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 31.5 pts + reb + astLauri Markkanen · Today 9:40 PM ET | -105at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 51% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 32.5 pts + reb + astLauri Markkanen · Today 9:40 PM ET | -125at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 56% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 33.5 pts + reb + astLauri Markkanen · Today 9:40 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.