This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 49% to break even | 39%–78% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 49% to break even | 0%–73% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 26 of 4262%needs 49% to break even | 49%–73% | 13 points betterwon 62%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 26 of 4360%needs 49% to break even | 48%–72% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against over 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 23 | 31 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 18 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 28 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 30 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 37 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 30 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 36 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 24 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 30 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 34 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 28 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 38 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 28 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 31 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 30 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 33 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 49 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 42 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 37 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 24 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 14 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 32 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 33 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 34 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 54 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 34 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 pts + astLauri Markkanen · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 48% to break even | -19.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 pts + astLauri Markkanen · Today 9:40 PM ET | -112at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -23.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 25.5 pts + astLauri Markkanen · Today 9:40 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 57% to break even | -26.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.