This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 49% to break even | 13%–56% | 19 points shortwon 30%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 49% to break even | 17%–54% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 49% to break even | 27%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 41 of 8946%needs 49% to break even | 38%–55% | 3 points shortwon 46%, needs 49% |
| Every game |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 threesVictor Wembanyama |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 stealsVictor Wembanyama |
| 38%–55% |
| 2 points shortwon 47%, needs 49% |
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 30 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| -148at Kalshi |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 60% to break even |
| -16.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +181at Kalshi |
| 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 36% to break even |
| -15.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 blocksVictor Wembanyama · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -161at Kalshi | 55 of 89· last season62%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -103at Kalshi | 44 of 89· last season49%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 pts + reb + astVictor Wembanyama · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -107at Kalshi | 47 of 89· last season53%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 pts + reb + astVictor Wembanyama · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -112at Kalshi | 42 of 89· last season47%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 blocksVictor Wembanyama · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | +119at Kalshi | 34 of 89· last season38%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -131at Kalshi | 45 of 89· last season51%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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