This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 37% to break even | 27%–86% | 23 points betterwon 60%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 37% to break even | 35%–81% | 23 points betterwon 60%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 37% to break even | 33%–72% | 17 points betterwon 53%, needs 37% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 37% to break even | 0%–73% | 37 points shortwon 0%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 31 of 6647%needs 37% to break even | 37%–57% | 10 points betterwon 47%, needs 37% |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| Every game | 31 of 6746%needs 37% to break even | 37%–56% | 10 points betterwon 46%, needs 37% |
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
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