This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 44% to break even | 5%–56% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 44% to break even | 13%–56% | 14 points shortwon 30%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 44% to break even | 8%–41% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 44% to break even | 27%–100% | 56 points betterwon 100%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 29 of 9132%needs 44% to break even | 24%–40% | 12 points shortwon 32%, needs 44% |
| Every game |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 threesDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 reboundsDevin Vassell |
| 25%–41% |
| 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| -175at Kalshi |
| 62 of 91· last season68%needs 64% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -101at Polymarket |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 50% to break even |
| 2.5Slight |
| Over 1.5 assistsDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 71 of 91· last season78%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 assistsDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 20 of 91· last season22%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 reboundsDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 37 of 91· last season41%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -38.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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