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NBAPlayer propRebounds
Jabari Smith Jr. under 5.5 rebounds
Won28 of 83last season · 34%
Best price+101Kalshi
Price needs49.8%wins to break even
Every game29 of 84this season and last
Trend score-35.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 50% to break even | 7%–46% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 50% to break even | 13%–48% | 23 points shortwon 27%, needs 50% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 50% to break even | 27%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 28 of 8334%needs 50% to break even | 26%–43% | 16 points shortwon 34%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 29 of 8435%needs 50% to break even | 27%–43% | 15 points shortwon 35%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jabari Smith Jr. under 5.5 rebounds1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rebounds in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  DAL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 |  LAL | 12 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Apr 29 | LAL | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | LAL | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 | LAL | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | LAL | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | LAL | 12 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  MIN | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  PHI | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  PHX | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  GS | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  UTAH | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  MIL | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 |  NY | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  NO | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  MEM | 16 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 | MIN | 12 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  CHI | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  MIA | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  ATL | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 | LAL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | LAL | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | NO | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  DEN | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  TOR | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  SA | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | GS | 11 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  ORL | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 25 |  SAC | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | UTAH | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | NY | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 |  CHA | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  LAC | 12 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 | LAC | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 |  OKC | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 | CHA | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 |  BOS | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 |  IND | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | DAL | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | ATL | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | SA | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | MEM | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  DET | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 | PHI | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 | SA | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | NO | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 | MIN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | OKC | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | CHI | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | SAC | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  POR | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | POR | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 | PHX | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | DAL | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  BKN | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | IND | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 |  CLE | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | LAL | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | LAC | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | SAC | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | DEN | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | NO | 12 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | DEN | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 11 | LAC | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | DAL | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | PHX | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | SAC | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | UTAH | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | UTAH | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | GS | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | PHX | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | DEN | 11 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | CLE | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | ORL | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | POR | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 |  WSH | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | MIL | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | SA | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | MEM | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | BOS | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | TOR | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | BKN | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | DET | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | OKC | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reboundsJabari Smith Jr. · Today 9:40 PM ET |  -131at Kalshi | 55 of 83· last season66%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jabari Smith Jr. in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 pointsJabari Smith Jr. · Today 9:40 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 50% to break even | 9.1Strong | ||
| Over 1.5 threesJabari Smith Jr. · Today 9:40 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 64% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 assistsJabari Smith Jr. · Today 9:40 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 49 of 83· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 assistsJabari Smith Jr. · Today 9:40 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 54% to break even | -22.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 threesJabari Smith Jr. · Today 9:40 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 24 of 83· last season29%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 pointsJabari Smith Jr. · Today 9:40 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 30 of 83· last season36%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -43.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.