This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 53% to break even | 27%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 46 of 8057%needs 53% to break even | 48%–66% |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 pointsAlperen Sengun |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes triple-doubleAlperen Sengun |
| Every game | 47 of 8158%needs 53% to break even | 49%–67% | 5 points betterwon 58%, needs 53% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 33 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 36 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 30 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 33 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 32 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 26 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 1 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 0 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 39 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 33 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 33 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 31 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 30 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 26 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 39 | +21.5 | Won | |
| +210at Bovada |
| 21 of 80· last season26%needs 32% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.4Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 pointsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 22 of 80· last season28%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 pointsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +130at Bovada | 30 of 80· last season38%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.7Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pointsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 34 of 80· last season43%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 pointsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | -118at BetRivers | 37 of 80· last season46%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 pointsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 44 of 80· last season55%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 pointsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | -200at Bovada | 48 of 80· last season60%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 pointsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | -250at Bovada | 50 of 80· last season63%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +2000at Fanatics |
| 4 of 80· last season5%needs 5% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 45 of 80· last season56%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 stealsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +252at Kalshi | 29 of 80· last season36%needs 28% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 reb + astAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | -136at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 58% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + rebAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | -178at FanDuel | 54 of 80· last season68%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 reb + astAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +108at FanDuel | 44 of 80· last season55%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 assistsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | -152at FanDuel | 56 of 80· last season70%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 reboundsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +170at Fanatics | 29 of 80· last season36%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 reboundsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | -130at FanDuel | 43 of 80· last season54%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reboundsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reboundsAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +120at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + astAlperen Sengun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +120at FanDuel | 44 of 80· last season55%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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