This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 51% to break even | 52%–87% | 22 points betterwon 73%, needs 51% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 51% to break even | 0%–73% | 51 points shortwon 0%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 66 of 9173%needs 51% to break even | 64%–79% | 22 points betterwon 73%, needs 51% |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against over 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 pts + astDevin Vassell |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 reb + astDevin Vassell |
| Every game | 66 of 9272%needs 51% to break even | 63%–79% | 21 points betterwon 72%, needs 51% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 22 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 30 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 22 | +8.5 | Won | |
| May 20 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| May 18 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 21 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 20 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 24 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 21 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 21 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 32 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 5 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 5 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 21 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 21 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 27 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 31 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 25 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 37 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 4 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 20 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 24 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| +115at Bovada |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 47% to break even |
| -28.9Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 pts + astDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -114at DraftKings | 25 of 91· last season27%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.6Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pts + astDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -150at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even | -23.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +193at BetOnline |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 34% to break even |
| 4.5Good |
| Over 4.5 reboundsDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | +229at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 30% to break even | 4.5Good |
| Over 3.5 reboundsDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | +106at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 49% to break even | 4.1Good |
| Over 19.5 pts + reb + astDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | +162at FanDuel | 53 of 91· last season58%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.9Slight |
| Over 2.5 reboundsDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -220at Bovada | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 69% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| Over 6.5 reb + astDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | +140at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 42% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pts + rebDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -117at BetRivers | 63 of 91· last season69%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | +5000at DraftKings | 2 of 91· last season2%needs 2% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.7Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 pointsDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -129at BetRivers | 67 of 91· last season74%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pts + reb + astDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | +120at Bovada | 55 of 91· last season60%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 pts + rebDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | +110at Bovada | 58 of 91· last season64%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesDevin Vassell · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | +189at Kalshi | 39 of 91· last season43%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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