This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 58% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 58% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 58% to break even | 39%–78% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 58% to break even | 0%–73% | 58 points shortwon 0%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 50 of 8956%needs 58% to break even | 47%–65% | 2 points shortwon 56%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 50 of 9056%needs 58% to break even | 47%–64% | 2 points shortwon 56%, needs 58% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
4Q margin in each game against bos 4q +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 4Q margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |
| Beat -0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | -14 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 2 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | -17 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 11 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 8 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -8 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -8 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | -8 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 8 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 11 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 8 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -11 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 9 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -10 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | -6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 9 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 11 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 9 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | -18 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | -9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | -9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 11 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -17 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 15 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 17 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 14 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 16 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 13 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -8 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 22 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -12 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | -12 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | -8 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 23 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | -12 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 47% to break even |
| 10.8Strong |
| Under 58.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even | 4.0Good |
| Under 113.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even | 3.2Good |
| Under 117.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 62% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| BOS -5.5 1st half spreadBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 46 of 89· last season52%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.2Slight |
| Under 60.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 64% to break even | -1.2Not beating its price |
| Under 115.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Under 214.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +225at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 31% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 216.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +185at Bovada | 39 of 89· last season44%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.7Not beating its price |
| BOS -0.5 1st quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 56 of 89· last season63%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Under 215.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 33% to break even | -2.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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