This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 57% to break even | 44%–95% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 57% to break even | 35%–81% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 57% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points shortwon 53%, needs 57% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 57% to break even | 27%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 45 of 8652%needs 57% to break even | 44%–61% | 4 points shortwon 52%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 46 of 8753%needs 57% to break even | 44%–61% | 4 points shortwon 53%, needs 57% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 2 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 threesPayton Pritchard · Today 7:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 41 of 86· last season48%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 assistsPayton Pritchard · Today 7:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 66 of 86· last season77%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 reboundsPayton Pritchard · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 48 of 86· last season56%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 reboundsPayton Pritchard · Today 7:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 60% to break even | -27.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 assistsPayton Pritchard · Today 7:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 46% to break even | -32.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.