This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 43% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 43% to break even | 27%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 33 of 9734%needs 43% to break even | 27%–42% | 9 points shortwon 34%, needs 43% |
| Every game |
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 threesJalen Brunson · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 reboundsJalen Brunson · |
| 27%–43% |
| 8 points shortwon 35%, needs 43% |
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| -191at Kalshi |
| 64 of 97· last season66%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -21.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesJalen Brunson · Today 7:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 45 of 97· last season46%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +129at Kalshi |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even |
| -11.7Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + reb + astJalen Brunson · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 59 of 97· last season61%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 assistsJalen Brunson · Today 7:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 40 of 97· last season41%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pointsJalen Brunson · Today 7:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 61 of 97· last season63%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 pointsJalen Brunson · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 36 of 97· last season37%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 reboundsJalen Brunson · Today 7:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 58 of 97· last season60%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsJalen Brunson · Today 7:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 57 of 97· last season59%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 pts + reb + astJalen Brunson · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 38 of 97· last season39%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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