This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 45% to break even | 22%–61% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 45% to break even | 27%–100% | 55 points betterwon 100%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 40 of 9741%needs 45% to break even | 33%–50% | 3 points shortwon 41%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 41 of 9842%needs 45% to break even | 34%–50% | 3 points shortwon 42%, needs 45% |
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 5 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 14 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| May 19 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 13 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 13 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 15 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 15 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 13 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 11 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 11 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 assistsJalen Brunson · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 57 of 97· last season59%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 reboundsJalen Brunson · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 threesJalen Brunson · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 45 of 97· last season46%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 reboundsJalen Brunson · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 58 of 97· last season60%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.