This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 33% to break even | 5%–56% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 33% to break even | 2%–35% | 23 points shortwon 10%, needs 33% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 33% to break even | 13%–48% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 33% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 33% to break even | 27%–100% | 67 points betterwon 100%, needs 33% |
| Last season | 32 of 7543%needs 33% to break even | 34%–52% | 9 points betterwon 43%, needs 33% |
| Every game | 33 of 7643%needs 33% to break even | 34%–53% | 10 points betterwon 43%, needs 33% |
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against over 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 1 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 1 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 16 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 17 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 24 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 18 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | -7.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 reboundsAndre Drummond · Today 7:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 6.5 reboundsAndre Drummond · Today 7:10 PM ET | +110at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -11.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 7.5 reboundsAndre Drummond · Today 7:10 PM ET | -152at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even | -17.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.