This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 62% to break even | 54%–93% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 62% to break even | 39%–78% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 62% to break even | 0%–73% | 62 points shortwon 0%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 37 of 7549%needs 62% to break even | 40%–59% | 12 points shortwon 49%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 37 of 7649%needs 62% to break even | 39%–58% | 13 points shortwon 49%, needs 62% |
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against under 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 16 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 15 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 9 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 17 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 9 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 15 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 9 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 9 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 24 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 18 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 reboundsAndre Drummond · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 38 of 75· last season51%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.