This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 43% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 43% to break even | 0%–73% | 43 points shortwon 0%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 30 of 8237%needs 43% to break even | 28%–46% | 6 points shortwon 37%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 30 of 8336%needs 43% to break even | 28%–45% | 7 points shortwon 36%, needs 43% |
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q total points in each game against over 60.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.5 1st quarter totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 116.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton |
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 60.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 48 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 55 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 59 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 59 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 69 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 47 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 69 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 54 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 61 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 69 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 52 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 41 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 49 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 61 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 60 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 61 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 52 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 66 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 40 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 37 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 63 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 50 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 68 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 66 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 59 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 49 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 71 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 55 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 44 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 49 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 52 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 64 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 63 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 52 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 48 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 76 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 42 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 56 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 39 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 58 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 58 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 50 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 49 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 54 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 51 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 54 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 60 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 46 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 52 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 56 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 64 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 51 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 53 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 51 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 61 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 70 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 56 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 59 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 56 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 53 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 59 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 48 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 67 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 58 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 58 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 48 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 68 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 53 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 83 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 59 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 53 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 60 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 46 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 63 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 33 of 82· last season40%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.9Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 1st quarter totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +119at Kalshi | 39 of 82· last season48%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Under 58.5 1st quarter totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -121at Kalshi | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 1st quarter totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -183at Kalshi | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 61 of 82· last season74%needs 44% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 9.3Strong |
| Under 114.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +166at Kalshi | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.6Good |
| Under 118.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -103at Kalshi | 63 of 82· last season77%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.2Good |
| Under 234.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +119at Kalshi | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Under 235.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +116at Polymarket | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +107at Polymarket | 60 of 82· last season73%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price |
| Under 237.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +103at Polymarket | 62 of 82· last season76%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 120.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -137at Kalshi | 64 of 82· last season78%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.2Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +131at Polymarket | 55 of 82· last season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | tS-105at theScore Bet | 63 of 82· last season77%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.4Not beating its price |
| Under 240.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -139at Polymarket | 65 of 82· last season79%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +146at Kalshi | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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