This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 48% to break even | 13%–56% | 18 points shortwon 30%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 48% to break even | 8%–41% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 48% to break even | 0%–73% | 48 points shortwon 0%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 18 of 8222%needs 48% to break even | 15%–30% | 26 points shortwon 22%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 18 of 8322%needs 48% to break even | 15%–30% | 26 points shortwon 22%, needs 48% |
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MIL points in each game against over 120.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 114.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 234.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton |
| Date | Opponent | MIL points | Beat 120.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 116 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 106 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 125 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 111 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 90 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 131 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 101 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 113 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 123 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 113 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 95 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 99 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 96 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 108 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 96 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 116 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 134 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 99 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 105 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 114 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 91 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 113 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 113 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 81 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 97 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 98 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 118 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 128 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 94 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 139 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 110 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 116 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 99 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 105 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 141 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 131 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 79 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 99 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 122 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 100 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 102 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 112 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 101 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 106 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 104 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 105 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 113 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 115 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 122 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 113 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 123 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 112 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 104 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 111 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 100 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 105 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 82 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 116 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 112 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 101 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 113 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 126 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 116 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 109 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 103 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 103 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 116 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 114 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 106 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 95 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 147 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 100 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 116 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 115 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 126 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 100 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 117 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 133 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 120 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 121 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 113 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 122 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 133 | +12.5 | Won | |
| 53 of 82· last season65%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 5.6Good |
| Under 116.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +124at Kalshi | 61 of 82· last season74%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.4Strong |
| Under 118.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -107at Kalshi | 63 of 82· last season77%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.3Slight |
| Under 120.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -137at Kalshi | 64 of 82· last season78%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.2Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -183at Kalshi | 68 of 82· last season83%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 57 of 82· last season70%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -0.9Not beating its price |
| Under 235.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +116at Polymarket | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +107at Polymarket | 60 of 82· last season73%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +131at Polymarket | 55 of 82· last season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| Under 237.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -101at Polymarket | 62 of 82· last season76%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.8Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | tS-105at theScore Bet | 63 of 82· last season77%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.4Not beating its price |
| Under 244.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -199at Kalshi | 68 of 82· last season83%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Under 240.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -145at Polymarket | 65 of 82· last season79%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +146at Kalshi | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Under 241.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -158at Polymarket | 65 of 82· last season79%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 4th quarter totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -175at Kalshi | 66 of 82· last season80%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 4th quarter totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -126at Kalshi | 62 of 82· last season76%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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