This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 50% to break even | 22%–61% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 50% to break even | 27%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 33 of 8240%needs 50% to break even | 32%–49% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 34 of 8341%needs 50% to break even | 33%–50% | 9 points shortwon 41%, needs 50% |
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against mil 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 116.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton |
| Opponent |
|---|
| 1H margin |
|---|
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 12 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | -18 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | -20 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | -22 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | -22 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | -24 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | -20 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -8 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | -8 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | -14 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 15 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | -20 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 12 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 25 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -14 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | -14 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | -18 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 16 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | -13 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | -31 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 18 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 15 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 12 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -17 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | -20 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 18 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -17 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -31 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -8 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | -19 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 19 | +18.5 | Won | |
| 61 of 82· last season74%needs 42% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 11.2Strong |
| Under 114.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +173at Kalshi | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.5Good |
| Under 118.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +105at Kalshi | 63 of 82· last season77%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.1Good |
| Under 234.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +124at Kalshi | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.1Slight |
| Under 235.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +121at Polymarket | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +116at Polymarket | 60 of 82· last season73%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.6Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +143at Polymarket | 55 of 82· last season67%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Under 120.5 team totalMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -131at Kalshi | 64 of 82· last season78%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.1Not beating its price |
| Under 237.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +103at Polymarket | 62 of 82· last season76%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -101at Polymarket | 63 of 82· last season77%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 244.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -183at Kalshi | 68 of 82· last season83%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 240.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Bucks · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -129at Polymarket | 65 of 82· last season79%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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