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NBAPlayer propPoints
Tre Jones under 11.5 points
Won26 of 65last season · 40%
Best price-280Bovada
Price needs73.7%wins to break even
Every game26 of 66this season and last
Trend score-59.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 74% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 74% to break even | 5%–56% | 54 points shortwon 20%, needs 74% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 74% to break even | 2%–35% | 64 points shortwon 10%, needs 74% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 74% to break even | 5%–33% | 60 points shortwon 13%, needs 74% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 74% to break even | 0%–73% | 74 points shortwon 0%, needs 74% |
| Last season | 26 of 6540%needs 74% to break even | 31%–50% | 34 points shortwon 40%, needs 74% |
| Every game | 26 of 6639%needs 74% to break even | 30%–50% | 34 points shortwon 39%, needs 74% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tre Jones under 11.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  TOR | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 |  DAL | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  ORL | 23 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  WSH | 31 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | WSH | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  PHX | 29 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  NY | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  IND | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  SA | 23 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  MEM | 19 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  OKC | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  PHI | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  HOU | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  CLE | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 | TOR | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | MEM | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 |  LAC | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  LAL | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  GS | 22 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  SAC | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | PHX | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | OKC | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  MIL | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  POR | 19 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 |  CHA | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | NY | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  DET | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | TOR | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  MIN | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | LAC | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  BKN | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | BKN | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 |  UTAH | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 | HOU | 34 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | DAL | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | DET | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 |  BOS | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | CHA | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | ORL | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  NO | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | MIN | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | MIL | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | PHI | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  ATL | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | ATL | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | CLE | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 17 | CLE | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | NO | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | CHA | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | ORL | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | IND | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | CHA | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | NO | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | WSH | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 |  MIA | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | DET | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | SA | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | CLE | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | MIL | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | PHI | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | NY | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | NY | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | SAC | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | ATL | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | ORL | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | DET | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tre Jones in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.