This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 38% to break even | 44%–95% | 42 points betterwon 80%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 38% to break even | 35%–81% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 38% to break even | 22%–61% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 38% to break even | 27%–100% | 62 points betterwon 100%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 14 of 5426%needs 38% to break even | 17%–37% | 12 points shortwon 26%, needs 38% |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 pointsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 reb + astJosh Giddey |
| Every game | 15 of 5527%needs 38% to break even | 19%–38% | 10 points shortwon 27%, needs 38% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 3 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 23 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 27 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 27 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 11 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 17 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 23 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 11 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 26 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 28 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 22 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 17 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 25 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 26 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 29 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 23 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 32 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| -208at DraftKings |
| 40 of 54· last season74%needs 68% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.7Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 pointsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | -135at BetMGM | 39 of 54· last season72%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 pointsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | -115at Fanatics | 38 of 54· last season70%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +130at BetMGM | 37 of 54· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 pointsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +135at Bovada | 33 of 54· last season61%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +174at Caesars | 31 of 54· last season57%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pointsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +226at DraftKings | 29 of 54· last season54%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +250at FanDuel |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 29% to break even |
| -0.7Not beating its price |
| Yes triple-doubleJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +640at DraftKings | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 14% to break even | -1.7Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 reb + astJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | -106at FanDuel | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 51% to break even | -4.1Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + reb + astJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +210at BetMGM | 29 of 54· last season54%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 reb + astJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +120at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 45% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 assistsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reboundsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | -152at FanDuel | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 60% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + rebJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +210at BetMGM | 30 of 54· last season56%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 assistsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +280at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 26% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + astJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +140at BetMGM | 31 of 54· last season57%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 blocksJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +125at BetOnline | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reboundsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | -274at DraftKings | 44 of 54· last season81%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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