This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 44% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points betterwon 53%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 20 of 5437%needs 44% to break even | 27%–48% | 7 points shortwon 37%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 20 of 5536%needs 44% to break even | 27%–47% | 8 points shortwon 36%, needs 44% |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Blocks in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Blocks | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.