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NBAPlayer propAssists
Tyler Herro over 5.5 assists
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price+114Kalshi
Price needs46.7%wins to break even
Every game10 of 35this season and last
Trend score-19.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 47% to break even | 44%–95% | 33 points betterwon 80%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 47% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 47% to break even | 17%–54% | 13 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 47% to break even | 27%–100% | 53 points betterwon 100%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 9 of 3426%needs 47% to break even | 16%–40% | 20 points shortwon 26%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 10 of 3529%needs 47% to break even | 18%–42% | 18 points shortwon 29%, needs 47% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tyler Herro over 5.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  WSH | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 |  CHA | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  ATL | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  TOR | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | TOR | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  BOS | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  PHI | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  IND | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  CLE | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 | CLE | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  SA | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  HOU | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  LAL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 | CHA | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  ORL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  DET | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | CHA | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  BKN | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | BKN | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | HOU | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | PHI | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 |  MIL | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  MEM | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | ATL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | BOS | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  PHX | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 |  OKC | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | IND | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 |  MIN | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 9 | ORL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 |  DAL | 0 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 |  LAC | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | DET | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | MIL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | DAL | 0 | -5.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 assistsTyler Herro · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ET |  -154at Kalshi | 25 of 34· last season74%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tyler Herro in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 reboundsTyler Herro · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even | -19.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 reboundsTyler Herro · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.