This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% | 4.2rebounds and assists |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 58% to break even | 35%–81% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% | 6.5rebounds and assists |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 58% to break even | 39%–78% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% | 7rebounds and assists |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 58% to break even | 0%–73% | 58 points shortwon 0%, needs 58% | 2rebounds and assists |
| Last season |
Tonight DEN plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 25 of 39 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 56%–73% |
| 7 points betterwon 65%, needs 58% |
| 7rebounds and assists |
| Every game | 50 of 7864%needs 58% to break even | 55%–72% | 6 points betterwon 64%, needs 58% | 7rebounds and assists |
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 5 | 0 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 17 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 15 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 15 | +9.5 | Won | |
| +104at FanDuel |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even14 of 39 at home |
| -24.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +300at BetMGM |
| 34 of 77· last season44%needs 25% to break even18 of 39 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 1.5Slight |
| Gets a double-doubleDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +4000at FanDuel | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 2% to break even1 of 39 at home | -0.2Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pointsDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +325at Caesars | 28 of 77· last season36%needs 24% to break even15 of 39 at home | Record is last season's | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +146at Kalshi | 41 of 77· last season53%needs 41% to break even21 of 39 at home | Record is last season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +210at BetMGM | 38 of 77· last season49%needs 32% to break even17 of 39 at home | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pointsDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +200at Caesars | 37 of 77· last season48%needs 33% to break even16 of 39 at home | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 reboundsDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +102at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even18 of 39 at home | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +109at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even17 of 39 at home | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pts + rebDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | -102at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even18 of 39 at home | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pts + reb + astDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +176at BetOnline | 31 of 77· last season40%needs 36% to break even15 of 39 at home | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pointsDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +158at DraftKings | 39 of 77· last season51%needs 39% to break even18 of 39 at home | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 assistsDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | -169at DraftKings | 57 of 77· last season74%needs 63% to break even26 of 39 at home | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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