This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% | 16.4points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 54% to break even | 44%–87% | 16 points betterwon 70%, needs 54% | 15points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 54% to break even | 59%–92% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% | 13.5points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 54% to break even | 12%–88% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% | 18.5points |
| Last season |
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 33 of 44 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 64%–79% |
| 18 points betterwon 72%, needs 54% |
| 13.4points |
| Every game | 65 of 9171%needs 54% to break even | 63%–79% | 17 points betterwon 71%, needs 54% | 13.6points |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 5 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 5 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 6 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 14 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 6 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 10 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 23 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 25 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 25 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 14 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 29 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 6 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 33 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 6 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 10 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 28 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 22 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 5 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 5 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 5 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 5 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 6 | +11.5 | Won | |
| -152at BetRivers |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 60% to break even16 of 44 at home |
| -36.3Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | -122at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 55% to break even14 of 44 at home | -31.7Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +102at BetRivers | 25 of 89· last season28%needs 50% to break even11 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +115at Fanatics | 17 of 89· last season19%needs 47% to break even7 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -39.3Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 12 of 89· last season13%needs 38% to break even5 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -31.9Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +173at Caesars | 9 of 89· last season10%needs 37% to break even3 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -33.4Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +225at BetRivers | 7 of 89· last season8%needs 31% to break even2 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -102at FanDuel |
| 72 of 89· last season81%needs 50% to break even36 of 44 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 9.4Strong |
| Under 20.5 pts + astNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | -106at FanDuel | 69 of 89· last season78%needs 51% to break even36 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | 7.7Good |
| Under 25.5 pts + rebNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | -112at FanDuel | 71 of 89· last season80%needs 53% to break even33 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | 4.8Good |
| Gets a triple-doubleNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +10000at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 44 at home | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 reb + astNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | -126at DraftKings | 74 of 89· last season83%needs 56% to break even33 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 assistsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | -125at BetMGM | 75 of 89· last season84%needs 56% to break even37 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 reboundsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +104at DraftKings | 65 of 89· last season73%needs 49% to break even28 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 threesNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +118at FanDuel | 56 of 89· last season63%needs 46% to break even28 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 assistsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +240at BetRivers | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 29% to break even3 of 44 at home | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 reboundsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +130at Fanatics | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 43% to break even14 of 44 at home | -23.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even16 of 44 at home | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 reb + astNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +162at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 38% to break even7 of 44 at home | -26.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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