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NBAPlayer propPoints
Naz Reid under 14.5 points
Won51 of 89last season · 57%
Best price+159Kalshi
Price needs38.6%wins to break even
Every game51 of 91this season and last
Trend score-11.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% | 16.4points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 15points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 39% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% | 13.5points |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 39% to break even | 0%–58% | 39 points shortwon 0%, needs 39% | 18.5points |
| Last season | 51 of 8957%needs 39% to break even | 49%–66% | 19 points betterwon 57%, needs 39% | 13.4points |
| Every game | 51 of 9156%needs 39% to break even | 47%–64% | 17 points betterwon 56%, needs 39% | 13.6points |
Games like tonight
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 23 of 44 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Naz Reid under 14.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  ATL | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 |  BKN | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 |  SA | 18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 12 | SA | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 10 | SA | 15 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | SA | 18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | SA | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 4 | SA | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 |  DEN | 15 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | DEN | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DEN | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | DEN | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | DEN | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | DEN | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  ORL | 15 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  IND | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  CHA | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  PHI | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  DET | 19 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  DAL | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 | DET | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  HOU | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  BOS | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  PHX | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  OKC | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  GS | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  LAC | 18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  LAL | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | ORL | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  TOR | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  MEM | 3 | +11.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | DEN | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | LAC | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 |  POR | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | DAL | 21 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | POR | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | ATL | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | LAC | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 |  NO | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 | TOR | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | MEM | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | MEM | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | OKC | 18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | DAL | 23 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | GS | 15 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | GS | 0 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  CHI | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 |  UTAH | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | SA | 0 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | HOU | 25 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  MIL | 19 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | SA | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  CLE | 25 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 8 | CLE | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 |  MIA | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  WSH | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | MIA | 29 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | ATL | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | CHI | 33 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | BKN | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | DEN | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  NY | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | MIL | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | OKC | 15 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 17 | MEM | 16 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  SAC | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | GS | 18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 8 | PHX | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | LAC | 19 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | NO | 19 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | NO | 18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | SA | 15 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | BOS | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | OKC | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | SAC | 15 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | PHX | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 | WSH | 28 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | DAL | 22 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | DEN | 19 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | SAC | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | UTAH | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | SAC | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | UTAH | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | NY | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | BKN | 21 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | CHA | 18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | LAL | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | DEN | 18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | IND | 16 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | LAL | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | POR | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 15.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET |  -152at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 60% to break even16 of 44 at home | -36.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 16.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | -122at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 55% to break even14 of 44 at home | -31.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 17.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +102at BetRivers | 25 of 89· last season28%needs 50% to break even11 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 18.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET |  +115at Fanatics | 17 of 89· last season19%needs 47% to break even7 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -39.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET |  +166at Kalshi | 12 of 89· last season13%needs 38% to break even5 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -31.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET |  +173at Caesars | 9 of 89· last season10%needs 37% to break even3 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -33.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 pointsNaz Reid · Today 6:10 PM ET | +225at BetRivers | 7 of 89· last season8%needs 31% to break even2 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Naz Reid in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.