This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | 2.4assists |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 55% to break even | 35%–81% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | 2.2assists |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 55% to break even | 39%–78% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | 2.2assists |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 55% to break even | 12%–88% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% | 2.5assists |
| Last season |
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 4 of 5 against MIA · 29 of 43 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 53%–70% |
| 7 points betterwon 62%, needs 55% |
| 2assists |
| Every game | 53 of 8662%needs 55% to break even | 53%–70% | 7 points betterwon 62%, needs 55% | 2assists |
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| +106at FanDuel |
| 32 of 84· last season38%needs 49% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 14 of 43 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -133at DraftKings |
| 65 of 84· last season77%needs 57% to break even4 of 5 against MIA · 33 of 43 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 8.9Strong |
| Under 9.5 pts + astSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | -102at FanDuel | 58 of 84· last season69%needs 50% to break even4 of 5 against MIA · 31 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | 4.4Good |
| Under 13.5 pts + reb + astSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | -101at DraftKings | 65 of 84· last season77%needs 50% to break even5 of 5 against MIA · 35 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | 1.9Slight |
| Under 14.5 pts + reb + astSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | -137at BetRivers | 67 of 84· last season80%needs 58% to break even5 of 5 against MIA · 35 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | 0.0Slight |
| Under 7.5 pointsSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | -115at DraftKings | 59 of 84· last season70%needs 53% to break even3 of 5 against MIA · 29 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 pts + rebSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 62 of 84· last season74%needs 55% to break even4 of 5 against MIA · 32 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 reboundsSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | +115at BetMGM | 47 of 84· last season56%needs 47% to break even4 of 5 against MIA · 26 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | -140at BetMGM | 59 of 84· last season70%needs 58% to break even4 of 5 against MIA · 29 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 reboundsSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | +170at BetRivers | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 37% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 8 of 43 at home | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 reb + astSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | -128at DraftKings | 56 of 84· last season67%needs 56% to break even5 of 5 against MIA · 34 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reb + astSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | +110at BetOnline | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 48% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 9 of 43 at home | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reb + astSion James · Today 6:10 PM ET | -192at BetOnline | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 66% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 16 of 43 at home | -26.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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