This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 35% to break even | 5%–56% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% | 4.8total goals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 35% to break even | 7%–46% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% | 4total goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 35% to break even | 22%–61% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% | 3.2total goals |
| This season | 11 of 3135%needs 35% to break even | 23%–50% | 1 points betterwon 35%, needs 35% | 3.1total goals |
| Last season | 11 of 3432%needs 35% to break even | 21%–46% | 2 points shortwon 32%, needs 35% | 3.3total goals |
| Every game | 22 of 6534%needs 35% to break even | 25%–44% | 1 points shortwon 34%, needs 35% | 3.2total goals |
Tonight LA plays on the road, as the underdog, against LAFC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 32 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even14 of 32 on the road | -18.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 37% to break even12 of 32 on the road | 0.9Slight | ||
| LA to win moneylineLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +450at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 18% to break even4 of 32 on the road | 0.2Slight | ||
| LA +1 spreadLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | PIN-102at Pinnacle | 20 of 27· this season74%needs 50% to break even15 of 24 on the road | Record is this season's | -1.0Not beating its price | |
| Draw, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +375at Fanatics | 10 of 31· this season32%needs 21% to break even11 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.8Not beating its price | |
| LA +1.5 spreadLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 24 of 31· this season77%needs 63% to break even23 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -7.9Not beating its price | |
| Both teams score: Yes, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 23 of 31· this season74%needs 66% to break even24 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.6Not beating its price | |
| Both teams score: No, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 39% to break even8 of 32 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 0.5 team totalLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 34· last season26%needs 35% to break even7 of 32 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 team totalLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -228at Kalshi | 18 of 31· this season58%needs 70% to break even20 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -38.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.