This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% | levelgoals |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 63% to break even | 44%–87% | 7 points betterwon 70%, needs 63% | lost by 0.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 63% to break even | 52%–87% | 11 points betterwon 73%, needs 63% | lost by 0.4goals |
| This season | 24 of 3177%needs 63% to break even | 63%–87% | 15 points betterwon 77%, needs 63% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Last season |
Tonight LA plays on the road, as the underdog, against LAFC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 23 of 32 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against LA +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
| 26 of 3476%needs 63% to break even |
| 63%–86% |
| 14 points betterwon 76%, needs 63% |
| lost by 0.6goals |
| Every game | 50 of 6577%needs 63% to break even | 67%–84% | 14 points betterwon 77%, needs 63% | lost by 0.4goals |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 37% to break even12 of 32 on the road |
| 0.9Slight |
| LA to win moneylineLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +450at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 18% to break even4 of 32 on the road | 0.2Slight |
| Draw, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +375at Fanatics | 10 of 31· this season32%needs 21% to break even11 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.8Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 23 of 31· this season74%needs 66% to break even24 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 11 of 31· this season35%needs 35% to break even11 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even14 of 32 on the road | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -125at Bally Bet | 21 of 31· this season68%needs 56% to break even18 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, LA gamesLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 39% to break even8 of 32 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 34· last season26%needs 35% to break even7 of 32 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalLA Galaxy · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -228at Kalshi | 18 of 31· this season58%needs 70% to break even20 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -38.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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