This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 37% to break even | 44%–95% | 43 points betterwon 80%, needs 37% | 4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 37% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% | 2.7total goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 37% to break even | 13%–48% | 10 points shortwon 27%, needs 37% | 2.4total goals |
| This season | 8 of 3027%needs 37% to break even | 16%–41% | 10 points shortwon 27%, needs 37% | 2.7total goals |
| Last season |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 32 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Dynamo · Today 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, HOU gamesHouston Dynamo · Today 8:30 PM ET |
| 26%–52% |
| 2 points betterwon 38%, needs 37% |
| 2.9total goals |
| Every game | 21 of 6433%needs 37% to break even | 24%–43% | 4 points shortwon 33%, needs 37% | 2.8total goals |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +125at BetRivers |
| 17 of 30· this season57%needs 44% to break even16 of 32 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| -15.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 27% to break even7 of 32 at home |
| -0.8Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, HOU gamesHouston Dynamo · Today 8:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 17 of 30· this season57%needs 42% to break even15 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalHouston Dynamo · Today 8:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 54% to break even22 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalHouston Dynamo · Today 8:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even10 of 32 at home | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, HOU gamesHouston Dynamo · Today 8:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 64% to break even17 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
| HOU to win moneylineHouston Dynamo · Today 8:30 PM ET | tS+115at theScore Bet | 13 of 30· this season43%needs 47% to break even13 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -29.4Not beating its price |
| HOU -0.5 spreadHouston Dynamo · Today 8:30 PM ET | +114at BetUS | 13 of 30· this season43%needs 47% to break even13 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -29.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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