This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 42% to break even | 5%–56% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 42% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 42% to break even | 39%–78% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| This season | 17 of 3057%needs 42% to break even | 42%–70% | 15 points betterwon 57%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 13 of 3438%needs 42% to break even | 26%–52% | 3 points shortwon 38%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 30 of 6447%needs 42% to break even | 37%–57% | 5 points betterwon 47%, needs 42% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 15 of 32 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Houston Dynamo game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 29 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 15 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 8 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 23 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 16 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 2 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 22 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 18 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 11 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Oct 18 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 4 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 12 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 5 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jun 25 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 31 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 28 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 24 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 17 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 14 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 3 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 26 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 30 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 15 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 2 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: Yes, HOU gamesHouston Dynamo · Today 8:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 64% to break even17 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.