This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 41% to break even | 0%–35% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% | lost by 1.2goals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 41% to break even | 7%–46% | 21 points shortwon 20%, needs 41% | lost by 0.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 41% to break even | 13%–48% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% | lost by 0.4goals |
| This season | 7 of 3023%needs 41% to break even | 13%–38% | 17 points shortwon 23%, needs 41% | lost by 0.6goals |
| Last season | 13 of 3636%needs 41% to break even | 24%–50% | 5 points shortwon 36%, needs 41% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Every game | 20 of 6630%needs 41% to break even | 22%–40% | 11 points shortwon 30%, needs 41% | lost by 0.5goals |
Tonight ATX plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against RSL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 33 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ATX to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 2 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, ATX gamesAustin FC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | +260at BetRivers | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 28% to break even13 of 33 at home | -8.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | +143at Bally Bet | 19 of 36· last season53%needs 41% to break even17 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -18.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | -186at Bally Bet | 21 of 30· this season70%needs 65% to break even16 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.