This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 28% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 28% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points betterwon 40%, needs 28% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 28% to break even | 27%–73% | 22 points betterwon 50%, needs 28% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 28% to break even | 17%–54% | 6 points betterwon 33%, needs 28% |
| This season | 10 of 3033%needs 28% to break even | 21%–48% | 6 points betterwon 33%, needs 28% |
| Last season | 8 of 3622%needs 28% to break even | 13%–35% | 6 points shortwon 22%, needs 28% |
| Every game | 18 of 6627%needs 28% to break even | 19%–37% | 1 points shortwon 27%, needs 28% |
Tonight ATX plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against RSL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 33 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Austin FC game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 23 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 13 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | Draw | Won | |
| May 3 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 21 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Draw | Won | |
| Last season | |||
| Nov 2 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 26 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 31 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 28 | Draw | Won | |
| May 24 | Draw | Won | |
| May 17 | Draw | Won | |
| May 14 | Draw | Won | |
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 30 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | +143at Bally Bet | 19 of 36· last season53%needs 41% to break even17 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -18.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | -186at Bally Bet | 21 of 30· this season70%needs 65% to break even16 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -21.2Not beating its price | |
| ATX to win moneylineAustin FC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | +145at BetRivers | 13 of 36· last season36%needs 41% to break even11 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.