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MLSGame lineTotal
San Jose Earthquakes @ FC Dallas: over 3.5
Won15 of 30this season · 50%
Best price+114Kalshi
Price needs46.7%wins to break even
Every game27 of 66this season and last
Trend score-19.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 47% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 47% to break even | 28%–67% | evenwon 47%, needs 47% |
| This season | 15 of 3050%needs 47% to break even | 36%–64% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 12 of 3633%needs 47% to break even | 22%–47% | 13 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 27 of 6641%needs 47% to break even | 32%–51% | 6 points shortwon 41%, needs 47% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DAL plays at home, as the favorite, against SJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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San Jose Earthquakes @ FC Dallas: over 3.56 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  HOU | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 14 |  SEA | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  CLT | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  LAFC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  ATX | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  POR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 |  MIN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  SKC | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  STL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 |  VAN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 19 |  RSL | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 16 | ATX | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 1 |  LA | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 |  SD | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | POR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 23 |  COL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 16 |  SJ | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 13 | VAN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 9 | RSL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 2 |  RBNY | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | SEA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | MIN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | LA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 | STL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 |  DC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | HOU | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | SD | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | LAFC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 |  NSH | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  TOR | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 1 | VAN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | VAN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | VAN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | LA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | LA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | POR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | COL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | ATX | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | STL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | LAFC | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | ATX | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 9 | POR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 |  NYC | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jul 19 | STL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | SJ | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 12 | LAFC | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 4 | MIN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 28 | SD | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jun 25 | SJ | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jun 14 | SKC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 31 |  PHI | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 28 |  CIN | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 24 | SEA | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | HOU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | RSL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 3 | SD | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 |  MIA | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | MIN | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | SEA | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  ATL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 | SKC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | RSL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | VAN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  CHI | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | COL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | HOU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, DAL gamesFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET |  +173at Kalshi | 16 of 36· last season44%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, DAL gamesFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET |  -139at BetRivers | 24 of 36· last season67%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on FC Dallas in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL to win moneylineFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | LVG-133at LowVig | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.3Not beating its price | |
| DAL -0.5 spreadFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | LVG-133at LowVig | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.3Not beating its price | |
| DAL -1.5 spreadFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 36· last season14%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.