This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 57% to break even | 14%–73% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 57% to break even | 27%–73% | 7 points shortwon 50%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 57% to break even | 28%–67% | 10 points shortwon 47%, needs 57% |
| This season | 14 of 3047%needs 57% to break even | 33%–61% | 10 points shortwon 47%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 11 of 3631%needs 57% to break even | 20%–44% | 27 points shortwon 31%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 25 of 6638%needs 57% to break even | 29%–48% | 19 points shortwon 38%, needs 57% |
Tonight DAL plays at home, as the favorite, against SJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against dal to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, DAL gamesFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 16 of 36· last season44%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, DAL gamesFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 15 of 30· this season50%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, DAL gamesFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | -139at BetRivers | 24 of 36· last season67%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| DAL -0.5 spreadFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | LVG-133at LowVig | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.3Not beating its price |
| DAL -1.5 spreadFC Dallas · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 36· last season14%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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