This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 64% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% | 1.6goals |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% | 1.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 64% to break even | 52%–87% | 9 points betterwon 73%, needs 64% | 1.2goals |
| This season | 16 of 3053%needs 64% to break even | 39%–67% | 11 points shortwon 53%, needs 64% | 1.7goals |
| Last season |
Tonight SJ plays on the road, as the underdog, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 20 of 32 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
SJ goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalSan Jose Earthquakes · Today 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJ +0.5 spreadSan Jose Earthquakes · Today 8:30 PM ET |
| 42%–69% |
| 8 points shortwon 56%, needs 64% |
| 1.8goals |
| Every game | 35 of 6455%needs 64% to break even | 44%–65% | 9 points shortwon 55%, needs 64% | 1.8goals |
| Date | Opponent | SJ goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| +149at Polymarket |
| 14 of 30· this season47%needs 40% to break even12 of 32 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -17.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +106at MyBookie |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 49% to break even20 of 32 on the road |
| 5.1Good |
| Draw, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Today 8:30 PM ET | +330at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 23% to break even7 of 32 on the road | 2.7Slight |
| Under 2.5 game total, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Today 8:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 35% to break even13 of 32 on the road | -6.3Not beating its price |
| SJ to win moneylineSan Jose Earthquakes · Today 8:30 PM ET | +330at FanDuel | 13 of 30· this season43%needs 23% to break even13 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Today 8:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 45% to break even13 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Today 8:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 19 of 34· last season56%needs 58% to break even19 of 32 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Today 8:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 37% to break even8 of 32 on the road | Record is this season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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