This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 24% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 24% to break even | 5%–56% | 4 points shortwon 20%, needs 24% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 24% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points betterwon 30%, needs 24% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 24% to break even | 8%–41% | 4 points shortwon 20%, needs 24% |
| This season | 13 of 3043%needs 24% to break even | 30%–58% | 20 points betterwon 43%, needs 24% |
| Last season | 11 of 3432%needs 24% to break even | 21%–46% | 9 points betterwon 32%, needs 24% |
| Every game | 24 of 6438%needs 24% to break even | 28%–48% | 14 points betterwon 38%, needs 24% |
Tonight SJ plays on the road, as the underdog, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sj to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJ +0.5 spreadSan Jose Earthquakes · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 49% to break even |
| 5.1Good |
| Under 2.5 game total, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 36% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -139at BetRivers | 19 of 34· last season56%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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