This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 25% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 25% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points betterwon 40%, needs 25% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 25% to break even | 27%–73% | 25 points betterwon 50%, needs 25% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 25% to break even | 22%–61% | 15 points betterwon 40%, needs 25% |
| This season | 10 of 3033%needs 25% to break even | 21%–48% | 8 points betterwon 33%, needs 25% |
| Last season | 6 of 3915%needs 25% to break even | 8%–27% | 10 points shortwon 15%, needs 25% |
| Every game |
Tonight NYC plays at home, as the favorite, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 33 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every New York City FC game, newest first: whether it ended level.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET |
| 16%–32% |
| 2 points shortwon 23%, needs 25% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 23 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Draw | Won | |
| May 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 10 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Last season | |||
| Nov 29 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| May 31 | Draw | Won | |
| May 28 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 17 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 14 | Draw | Won | |
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Draw | Won | |
| PRX-167at betPARX |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 63% to break even22 of 33 at home |
| -5.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX+128at betPARX | 13 of 39· last season33%needs 44% to break even11 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -30.6Not beating its price |
| NYC to win moneylineNew York City FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | -135at Hard Rock | 20 of 39· last season51%needs 57% to break even15 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -39.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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