This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 367%needs 49% to break even | 25%–92% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 667%needs 49% to break even | 35%–88% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 967%needs 49% to break even | 40%–86% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| This season | 10 of 1953%needs 49% to break even | 35%–70% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 18 of 2962%needs 49% to break even | 47%–75% | 13 points betterwon 62%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 28 of 4858%needs 49% to break even | 46%–69% | 9 points betterwon 58%, needs 49% |
Tonight RSL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against STL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, RSL gamesReal Salt Lake · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalReal Salt Lake · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET |
| Total goals |
|---|
| Beat 3 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 23 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 19 | 7 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 16 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 9 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 22 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 26 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 31 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 28 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 24 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| May 14 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| May 10 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 3 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 26 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 8 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| 20 of 30· this season67%needs 65% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -25.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, RSL gamesReal Salt Lake · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | PIN-122at Pinnacle | 9 of 19· this season47%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, RSL gamesReal Salt Lake · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 11 of 35· last season31%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 24 of 35· last season69%needs 54% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.3Not beating its price |
| RSL to win moneylineReal Salt Lake · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | PRX+145at betPARX | 12 of 35· last season34%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalReal Salt Lake · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 13 of 30· this season43%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
| RSL 0 spreadReal Salt Lake · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | PIN-126at Pinnacle | 10 of 24· this season42%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -34.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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