This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 43% to break even | 8%–41% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| This season | 9 of 3030%needs 43% to break even | 18%–45% | 13 points shortwon 30%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 11 of 3531%needs 43% to break even | 20%–45% | 12 points shortwon 31%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 20 of 6531%needs 43% to break even | 22%–41% | 13 points shortwon 31%, needs 43% |
Tonight RSL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against STL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, RSL gamesReal Salt Lake · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalReal Salt Lake · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 18 of 35· last season51%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, RSL gamesReal Salt Lake · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | PIN+103at Pinnacle | 18 of 29· last season62%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, RSL gamesReal Salt Lake · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -6.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 24 of 35· last season69%needs 54% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.3Not beating its price |
| RSL to win moneylineReal Salt Lake · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | PRX+145at betPARX | 12 of 35· last season34%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalReal Salt Lake · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 13 of 30· this season43%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
| RSL 0 spreadReal Salt Lake · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | PIN-126at Pinnacle | 10 of 24· this season42%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -34.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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