This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% | 2.8goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 34% to break even | 35%–81% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% | 2.6goals |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 34% to break even | 28%–67% | 13 points betterwon 47%, needs 34% | 2.3goals |
| This season | 10 of 3033%needs 34% to break even | 21%–48% | evenwon 33%, needs 34% | 1.9goals |
| Last season |
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 32 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ORL goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalOrlando City SC · Today 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando City SC · Today 7:30 PM ET |
| 20%–45% |
| 2 points shortwon 31%, needs 34% |
| 1.8goals |
| Every game | 21 of 6532%needs 34% to break even | 24%–42% | 1 points shortwon 32%, needs 34% | 1.9goals |
| Date | Opponent | ORL goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +124at Kalshi |
| 17 of 35· last season49%needs 45% to break even15 of 32 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +117at BetRivers |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 46% to break even14 of 32 at home |
| -1.7Not beating its price |
| Draw, ORL gamesOrlando City SC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +301at Polymarket | 11 of 35· last season31%needs 25% to break even6 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| ORL to win moneylineOrlando City SC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +130at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even17 of 32 at home | -14.3Not beating its price |
| ORL -0.5 spreadOrlando City SC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +125at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even17 of 32 at home | -15.2Not beating its price |
| ORL PK spreadOrlando City SC · Today 7:30 PM ET | -135at DraftKings | 6 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped75%needs 57% to break even17 of 26 at home | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, ORL gamesOrlando City SC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 30· this season30%needs 34% to break even7 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando City SC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 10 of 35· last season29%needs 34% to break even9 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -22.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando City SC · Today 7:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 18 of 35· last season51%needs 55% to break even18 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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