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MLSGame lineTotal
New York City FC @ Orlando City SC: over 3.5
Won5 of 5last 5 games · 100%
Best price+117BetRivers
Price needs46.1%wins to break even
Every game35 of 65this season and last
Trend score-1.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 46% to break even | 65%–100% | 54 points betterwon 100%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 46% to break even | 44%–87% | 24 points betterwon 70%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 46% to break even | 39%–78% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| This season | 18 of 3060%needs 46% to break even | 45%–73% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 17 of 3549%needs 46% to break even | 35%–62% | 2 points betterwon 49%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 35 of 6554%needs 46% to break even | 44%–64% | 8 points betterwon 54%, needs 46% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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New York City FC @ Orlando City SC: over 3.59 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  DC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 14 |  TOR | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  CLB | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  PHI | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  NE | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | TOR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 |  ATL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  SD | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  MIN | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 |  RSL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 19 |  CHI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 15 |  CIN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 1 |  RBNY | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 25 |  NSH | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jul 22 |  SJ | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 23 | CIN | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| May 16 | ATL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 13 | PHI | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 9 |  MTL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 2 |  MIA | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 |  CLT | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 |  HOU | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | CLB | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 |  LAFC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | NSH | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | MTL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 |  NYC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | MIA | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | RBNY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 22 | CHI | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | TOR | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  VAN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | CLB | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | CIN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | NSH | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | DC | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | NSH | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 16 |  SKC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 10 | MIA | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 25 | CLB | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 19 | NE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | NYC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 12 | MTL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 5 | CLT | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jun 28 | CIN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 25 |  STL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jun 14 |  COL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 31 | CHI | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 28 | ATL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 24 |  POR | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 18 | MIA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 14 | CLT | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 10 | NE | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 3 | CHI | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | ATL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | MTL | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | RBNY | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | PHI | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  LA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | DC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | RBNY | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | NYC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | TOR | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | PHI | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando City SC · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |  +181at Kalshi | 10 of 35· last season29%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando City SC · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 18 of 35· last season51%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Orlando City SC in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL to win moneylineOrlando City SC · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |  +130at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price | ||
| ORL 0 spreadOrlando City SC · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | LVG-138at LowVig | 6 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped75%needs 58% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.