This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 48% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 3.2total goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 48% to break even | 19%–65% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 3.2total goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 48% to break even | 22%–61% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 3.3total goals |
| This season | 11 of 3037%needs 48% to break even | 24%–52% | 12 points shortwon 37%, needs 48% | 3.1total goals |
| Last season | 13 of 3735%needs 48% to break even | 24%–49% | 13 points shortwon 35%, needs 48% | 3.1total goals |
| Every game | 24 of 6736%needs 48% to break even | 27%–46% | 12 points shortwon 36%, needs 48% | 3.1total goals |
Tonight CLB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 14 of 34 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, CLB gamesColumbus Crew SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-137at betPARX | 24 of 37· last season65%needs 58% to break even20 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB to win moneylineColumbus Crew SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | +250at Hard Rock | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 29% to break even8 of 34 on the road | -0.8Not beating its price | ||
| Draw, CLB gamesColumbus Crew SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | +300at Hard Rock | 12 of 37· last season32%needs 25% to break even10 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.