This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 29% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 29% to break even | 44%–95% | 51 points betterwon 80%, needs 29% | won by 1.2goals |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 29% to break even | 27%–73% | 21 points betterwon 50%, needs 29% | won by 0.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 29% to break even | 22%–61% | 11 points betterwon 40%, needs 29% | won by 0.1goals |
| This season | 10 of 3033%needs 29% to break even | 21%–48% | 5 points betterwon 33%, needs 29% | levelgoals |
| Last season | 15 of 3741%needs 29% to break even | 28%–54% | 12 points betterwon 41%, needs 29% | won by 0.2goals |
| Every game | 25 of 6737%needs 29% to break even | 28%–47% | 9 points betterwon 37%, needs 29% | won by 0.1goals |
Tonight CLB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 34 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against CLB to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, CLB gamesColumbus Crew SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-137at betPARX | 24 of 37· last season65%needs 58% to break even20 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price | |
| Draw, CLB gamesColumbus Crew SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | +300at Hard Rock | 12 of 37· last season32%needs 25% to break even10 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, CLB gamesColumbus Crew SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX+107at betPARX | 11 of 30· this season37%needs 48% to break even14 of 34 on the road | Record is this season's | -25.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.