This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% | won by 1.4goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 41% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% | won by 1.2goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1331%needs 41% to break even | 15%–54% | 10 points shortwon 31%, needs 41% | won by 0.7goals |
| This season | 10 of 2540%needs 41% to break even | 26%–56% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% | won by 0.7goals |
| Last season |
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against RBNY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 27 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MIA -1, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, MIA gamesInter Miami CF · Today 5:30 PM ET |
| 38%–65% |
| 11 points betterwon 52%, needs 41% |
| won by 1goals |
| Every game | 27 of 5847%needs 41% to break even | 36%–57% | 6 points betterwon 47%, needs 41% | won by 0.9goals |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 22 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 24 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 13 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 9 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 2 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 6 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 16 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 9 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 5 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| May 31 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| May 28 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 24 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 18 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 16 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 2 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 22% to break even8 of 34 on the road |
| -5.7Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 game total, MIA gamesInter Miami CF · Today 5:30 PM ET | -180at BetRivers | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 64% to break even20 of 34 on the road | -7.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MIA gamesInter Miami CF · Today 5:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 25 of 40· last season63%needs 56% to break even18 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalInter Miami CF · Today 5:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 22 of 40· last season55%needs 40% to break even14 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalInter Miami CF · Today 5:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 13 of 40· last season33%needs 36% to break even15 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
| MIA to win moneylineInter Miami CF · Today 5:30 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 24 of 40· last season60%needs 52% to break even18 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalInter Miami CF · Today 5:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 64% to break even20 of 34 on the road | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, MIA gamesInter Miami CF · Today 5:30 PM ET | +128at BetRivers | 15 of 40· last season38%needs 44% to break even16 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, MIA gamesInter Miami CF · Today 5:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 16 of 40· last season40%needs 37% to break even14 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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