This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 34% to break even | 5%–56% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 34% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 34% to break even | 17%–54% | 1 points shortwon 33%, needs 34% |
| This season | 8 of 3027%needs 34% to break even | 16%–41% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 13 of 4033%needs 34% to break even | 22%–45% | 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 21 of 7030%needs 34% to break even | 22%–40% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% |
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MIA goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | MIA goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 16 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalInter Miami CF · Sat, Oct 24, 5:30 PM ET | -234at Polymarket | 22 of 30· this season73%needs 70% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 team totalInter Miami CF · Sat, Oct 24, 5:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 22 of 40· last season55%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.