This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 25% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 25% to break even | 5%–56% | 5 points shortwon 20%, needs 25% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 25% to break even | 27%–73% | 25 points betterwon 50%, needs 25% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 25% to break even | 22%–61% | 15 points betterwon 40%, needs 25% |
| This season | 9 of 3030%needs 25% to break even | 18%–45% | 5 points betterwon 30%, needs 25% |
| Last season | 12 of 3732%needs 25% to break even | 21%–46% | 7 points betterwon 32%, needs 25% |
| Every game | 21 of 6731%needs 25% to break even | 23%–41% | 6 points betterwon 31%, needs 25% |
Tonight SEA plays on the road, as the underdog, against SD. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 34 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Seattle Sounders FC game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| May 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 9 | Draw | Won | |
| May 2 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Nov 8 | Draw | Won | |
| Nov 3 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 24 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jun 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 17 | Draw | Won | |
| May 14 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| May 10 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Draw | Won | |
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.