This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 56% to break even | 44%–87% | 14 points betterwon 70%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 56% to break even | 59%–92% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| This season | 23 of 3077%needs 56% to break even | 62%–87% | 20 points betterwon 77%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 20 of 3754%needs 56% to break even | 41%–67% | 2 points shortwon 54%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 43 of 6764%needs 56% to break even | 54%–73% | 8 points betterwon 64%, needs 56% |
Tonight SEA plays on the road, as the underdog, against SD. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, SEA gamesSeattle Sounders FC · Sat, Oct 24, 10:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA +0.5 spreadSeattle Sounders FC · Sat, Oct 24, 10:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 8 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 16 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 1 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 17 of 37· last season46%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even |
| -4.8Not beating its price |
| SEA to win moneylineSeattle Sounders FC · Sat, Oct 24, 10:30 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 16 of 37· last season43%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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