This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 72% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 72% to break even | 44%–95% | 8 points betterwon 80%, needs 72% | 1.6goals |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 72% to break even | 54%–93% | 8 points betterwon 80%, needs 72% | 1.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 72% to break even | 52%–87% | 1 points betterwon 73%, needs 72% | 1.7goals |
| This season | 19 of 3063%needs 72% to break even | 48%–76% | 9 points shortwon 63%, needs 72% | 2.1goals |
| Last season | 31 of 3882%needs 72% to break even | 69%–90% | 10 points betterwon 82%, needs 72% | 1.4goals |
| Every game | 50 of 6874%needs 72% to break even | 64%–81% | 1 points betterwon 74%, needs 72% | 1.7goals |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against DC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 25 of 33 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CIN goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | CIN goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 23 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalFC Cincinnati · Today 7:30 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 19 of 30· this season63%needs 60% to break even14 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -23.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 team totalFC Cincinnati · Today 7:30 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 11 of 30· this season37%needs 33% to break even8 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, CIN gamesFC Cincinnati · Today 7:30 PM ET | +310at FanDuel | 9 of 30· this season30%needs 24% to break even8 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 game total, CIN gamesFC Cincinnati · Today 7:30 PM ET | +245at Polymarket | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 29% to break even12 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, CIN gamesFC Cincinnati · Today 7:30 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 19 of 30· this season63%needs 50% to break even18 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.7Not beating its price | |
| CIN to win moneylineFC Cincinnati · Today 7:30 PM ET | +140at Hard Rock | 22 of 38· last season58%needs 42% to break even13 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price | |
| CIN -0.5 spreadFC Cincinnati · Today 7:30 PM ET | +130at BetRivers | 22 of 38· last season58%needs 43% to break even13 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, CIN gamesFC Cincinnati · Today 7:30 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 27 of 38· last season71%needs 50% to break even15 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price | |
| CIN PK spreadFC Cincinnati · Today 7:30 PM ET | -140at DraftKings | 22 of 33· last season67%needs 58% to break even13 of 25 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.