This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 54% to break even | 13%–56% | 24 points shortwon 30%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 54% to break even | 22%–61% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| This season | 11 of 3037%needs 54% to break even | 24%–52% | 18 points shortwon 37%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 27 of 3871%needs 54% to break even | 58%–81% | 17 points betterwon 71%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 38 of 6856%needs 54% to break even | 46%–65% | 2 points betterwon 56%, needs 54% |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against DC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, CIN gamesFC Cincinnati · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalFC Cincinnati · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 23 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 19 of 30· this season63%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 20 of 38· last season53%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.3Not beating its price |
| CIN to win moneylineFC Cincinnati · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +140at Hard Rock | 22 of 38· last season58%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalFC Cincinnati · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 19 of 30· this season63%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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