This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 21% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 21% to break even | 0%–35% | 21 points shortwon 0%, needs 21% | lost by 1goals |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 21% to break even | 2%–35% | 11 points shortwon 10%, needs 21% | lost by 0.6goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 21% to break even | 13%–48% | 6 points betterwon 27%, needs 21% | lost by 0.2goals |
| This season | 9 of 3030%needs 21% to break even | 18%–45% | 9 points betterwon 30%, needs 21% | lost by 0.2goals |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 21% to break even | 21%–45% | 11 points betterwon 32%, needs 21% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Every game | 21 of 6831%needs 21% to break even | 23%–41% | 10 points betterwon 31%, needs 21% | lost by 0.2goals |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the underdog, against STL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 34 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against POR to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 9 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, POR gamesPortland Timbers · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | +350at Hard Rock | 12 of 38· last season32%needs 22% to break even8 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Timbers · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-114at betPARX | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 53% to break even24 of 34 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Timbers · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-113at betPARX | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 53% to break even10 of 34 on the road | Record is this season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.